Let’s not go overboard with this Trump stuff! 

It has certainly become the talk of the town with some of the latest polls showing that Donald Trump is leading Hillary Clinton in a hypothetical 2016 matchup.

I decided to run my polling algorithm to simulate 100,000 election matchups between Clinton and Trump. I calibrated my model using a variety of data sources.

These were the results:


Based on these simulations, I conclude that:


I think in the era of the 24-hour news cycle, too much is made of one poll.

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Published by

ikjyotsinghkohli24

Sikh, Theoretical and Mathematical Physicist, main research in the structure and dynamics of Einstein's field equations.

One thought on “Let’s not go overboard with this Trump stuff! ”

  1. “too much is made of one poll”
    i think that many people have seen differences between polling firms… suggesting that subtle differences, such as in questions, cause significantly different results.

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