It has certainly become the talk of the town with some of the latest polls showing that Donald Trump is leading Hillary Clinton in a hypothetical 2016 matchup.
I decided to run my polling algorithm to simulate 100,000 election matchups between Clinton and Trump. I calibrated my model using a variety of data sources.
These were the results:
Based on these simulations, I conclude that:
I think in the era of the 24-hour news cycle, too much is made of one poll.
Relativity Digest 
One reply on “Let’s not go overboard with this Trump stuff! ”
“too much is made of one poll”
i think that many people have seen differences between polling firms… suggesting that subtle differences, such as in questions, cause significantly different results.