Here is the collection of time series of relevant predictor variables captured live during Game 7 of the Western Conference Finals between The Oklahoma City Thunder and The Golden State Warriors:
Another video animation:
https://twitter.com/dr_ikjyotsinghk/status/737694089437716480
Many commentators are making a point to mention how many three point shots The Warriors made, suggesting that that was the main reason why the Warriors won the game. However, the time series above show otherwise. As can be seen above, OKC’s loss of the lead in the game directly corresponds to GSW’s increase in 2PT %. This can be further confirmed by computing the correlations between OKC’s point difference and all of the other predictor variables plotted above:
One can see from these calculations that OKC’s point difference is strongly negatively correlated with the amount of personal fouls they committed during the game, the amount of personal fouls GSW committed during the game, and GSW 2PT% during the game.
2 replies on “Breakdown of Game 7 between OKC and GSW”
I’ve been looking for a blog like this. Excited to follow to really get at these statistics. Nice work!
Hi. Thanks!