Game 1 of CLE vs GSW Breakdown

Using my live tracking app combined with the relevant factors based on this previous work, here is my breakdown of what contributed to the Warriors win in Game 1 of the NBA Finals. 

First, here is the time series graph of several predictor variables: 

Breaking this down a bit further, we have: 


Computing the correlations, we obtain: 


For the graphically inclined: 

One sees that the predictor variable correlated most positively with the Warriors’ lead was the number of fouls Cleveland committed. Therefore, evidently, the most important factor in GSW winning Game 1 was the rate and number of fouls committed by Cleveland during the game.